── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Taylor Fritz
52%48%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#15
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Taylor Fritz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay2–0
Grass1–1
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-2 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-11-09 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | 3-6 7-6(5) 6-2 3-6 6-1 |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-11-24 | Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs USA | Hard | RR | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(8) 6-3 |
| 2022-06-27 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Taylor Fritz | 6-4 6-4 6-3 |