── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Frances Tiafoe
45%55%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
78th · strong
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
90th · strong
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#12
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
Clay3–1
Grass0–1
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Frances Tiafoe | 7-6(2) 7-5 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-06-12 | Stuttgart | Grass | QF | Frances Tiafoe | 6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-2 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-01-02 | United Cup | Hard | F | Frances Tiafoe | 6-2 0-0 RET |
| 2021-03-15 | Acapulco | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 2-6 6-3 7-6(1) |
| 2020-10-05 | Parma CH | Clay | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2020-09-21 | Forli CH | Clay | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 5-7 6-2 |