── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Alejandro Tabilo
61%39%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#30
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
CHI
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | F | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-3 2-6 7-6(5) |
| 2021-01-24 | Antalya 1 CH | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-2 6-0 |