── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Matteo Berrettini
65%35%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#38
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Grass0–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-06-10 | Stuttgart | Grass | SF | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2022-10-17 | Naples | Hard | F | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-6(5) 6-2 |