── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Stefanos Tsitsipas
68%32%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#45
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GRE
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Stefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–4
Hard0–1
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | 1-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | SF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 5-7 6-3 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 5-7 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-05-17 | Lyon | Clay | SF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 4-6 6-3 6-0 |
| 2021-03-15 | Acapulco | Hard | SF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-1 6-3 |