── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Hubert Hurkacz
55%45%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
76th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Hubert Hurkacz
55th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#23
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
POL
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Grass0–2
Hard1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-6(4) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-02-07 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 5-7 6-3 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4 7-6(5) 6-1 |
| 2021-05-10 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 2-0 RET |