── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Sonego
78%22%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
76th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#99
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 3-6 6-3 6-1 |
| 2024-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-2 |