── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
73%27%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
76th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
35th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#72
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-7(3) 6-2 6-4 |
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-6(3) 6-2 |