── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Musetti
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
69%31%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 86% / 14%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
79th · strong
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#12
model rank
#48
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo MusettiTomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-05Hong KongHardR16Lorenzo Musetti6-7(3) 6-2 6-4
2025-10-20ViennaHardR16Lorenzo Musetti6-3 6-4
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR64Lorenzo Musetti7-6(3) 6-2