── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Musetti
Corentin Moutet
78%22%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
76th · strong
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#17
model rank
#101
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
FRA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR16Lorenzo Musetti6-3 6-4
2025-10-20ViennaHardQFLorenzo Musetti6-3 6-4
2025-02-10Buenos AiresClayR16Lorenzo Musetti6-2 6-3