── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Musetti
Corentin Moutet
72%28%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 58% / 42%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#12
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
FRA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo MusettiCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
Hard10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR16Lorenzo Musetti6-3 6-4
2025-10-20ViennaHardQFLorenzo Musetti6-3 6-4
2025-02-10Buenos AiresClayR16Lorenzo Musetti6-2 6-3