── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Francisco Cerundolo
56%44%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#21
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Francisco Cerundolo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–1
Hard0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-6(7) 6-4 |
| 2024-11-21 | Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs ARG | Hard | RR | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2024-07-22 | Umag | Clay | F | Francisco Cerundolo | 2-6 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2022-07-18 | Hamburg | Clay | SF | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2020-08-31 | Cordenons CH | Clay | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-0 |