── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 91% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Jannik Sinner
9%91%
Hard: 8% / 92%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#1
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Jannik Sinner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–2
Clay1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | QF | Jannik Sinner | 6-1 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | W/O |
| 2023-04-10 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | QF | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2021-10-18 | Antwerp | Hard | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 7-5 6-2 |