── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Alexander Shevchenko
84%16%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#124
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
KAZ
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | SF | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-1 6-1 6-2 |