── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Tomas Machac
63%37%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#35
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CZE
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 |
| 2024-02-05 | Marseille | Hard | R16 | Tomas Machac | 6-3 6-2 |