── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Tomas Machac
70%30%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
78th · strong
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
90th · strong
Tomas Machac
57th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#67
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CZE
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 |
| 2024-02-05 | Marseille | Hard | R16 | Tomas Machac | 6-3 6-2 |