── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Flavio Cobolli
58%42%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#25
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-2 2-0 RET |