── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
79%21%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
94th · elite
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#12
model rank
#98
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
185cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard2–1
Grass2–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-10-13 | Brussels | Hard | QF | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 6-4 7-6(8) |
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-6(3) 6-7(4) 6-4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-06-10 | Stuttgart | Grass | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-6(9) 7-6(9) |