── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Musetti
Arthur Fery
65%35%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 57% / 43%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
76th · strong
Arthur Fery
32th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Arthur Fery
75th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#17
model rank
#46
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GBR
185cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Arthur Fery
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-01US OpenHardR128Lorenzo Musetti6-3 6-3 7-5