── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Luciano Darderi
63%37%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
78th · strong
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
90th · strong
Luciano Darderi
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-5 7-6(1) |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 4-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-05-13 | Turin CH | Clay | SF | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-5 7-6(8) |