── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Musetti
Coleman Wong
86%14%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 99% / 1%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Coleman Wong
39th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Coleman Wong
13th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#12
model rank
#143
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
HKG
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo MusettiColeman Wong
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-05Hong KongHardQFLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-4