── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Raphael Collignon
66%34%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
78th · strong
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
90th · strong
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
BEL
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Lorenzo Musetti | 4-6 7-6(3) 7-5 3-2 RET |