── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Musetti
Jaime Faria
72%28%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Musetti
76th · strong
Jaime Faria
49th · average
Return
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Jaime Faria
33th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#71
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
POR
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Musetti■ Jaime Faria
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-5 6-2 |