── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Timofey Skatov
Raphael Collignon
20%80%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 45% / 55%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Timofey Skatov
7th · poor
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Return
Timofey Skatov
13th · poor
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#176
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
BEL
175cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Timofey Skatov■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Gstaad | Clay | R32 | Raphael Collignon | 3-6 7-6(1) 6-4 |
| 2025-08-04 | Bonn CH | Clay | SF | Timofey Skatov | 6-4 4-6 7-5 |