── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Daniel Evans
81%19%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 9% / 91%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Daniel Evans
6th · poor
Return
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average
Daniel Evans
30th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#51
model rank
#171
Clay
best surface
Grass
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
GBR
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Juan Manuel CerundoloDaniel Evans
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-08Guangzhou Huangpu CHHardQFJuan Manuel Cerundolo4-6 1-2 RET