── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
58%42%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 48% / 52%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#51
model rank
#82
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Juan Manuel Cerundolo■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay5–6
── 11 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Rosario CH | Clay | SF | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2024-11-04 | Lima 2 CH | Clay | QF | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6-1 6-1 |
| 2024-10-07 | Villa Maria CH | Clay | SF | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-02-26 | Santiago | Clay | Q1 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2023-09-18 | Antofagasta CH | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 7-6(5) 3-6 6-2 |
| 2022-09-26 | Buenos Aires CH | Clay | F | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6-4 2-6 7-5 |
| 2021-09-27 | Lima 1 CH | Clay | QF | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 3-6 6-4 2-0 RET |
| 2021-08-16 | Luedenscheid CH | Clay | QF | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2020-02-17 | M25 Punta del Este | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-4 7-6(7) |
| 2019-04-01 | M15 Pinamar | Clay | QF | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6-7(5) 6-4 4-3 RET |
| 2017-08-21 | Argentina F4 | Clay | R32 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-2 6-2 |