── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Sebastian Baez
58%42%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
45th · average
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
54th · average
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#62
model rank
#89
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
183cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Juan Manuel Cerundolo■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–3
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R16 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6-2 4-0 RET |
| 2021-10-18 | Buenos Aires CH | Clay | SF | Sebastian Baez | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2021-10-11 | Santiago 2 CH | Clay | QF | Sebastian Baez | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-11-30 | Campinas CH | Clay | Q2 | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2019-09-30 | M15 Santiago | Clay | F | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6-1 2-6 6-3 |