── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jannik Sinner 96% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Jannik Sinner
4%96%
Hard: 1% / 99%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 1% / 99%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Return
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#51
model rank
#1
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Juan Manuel CerundoloJannik Sinner
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Grass01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Juan Manuel Cerundolo3-6 2-6 7-5 6-1 6-1
2023-07-03WimbledonGrassR128Jannik Sinner6-2 6-2 6-2