── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shintaro Mochizuki
82%18%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 7% / 93%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#51
model rank
#174
Clay
best surface
Grass
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
JPN
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Juan Manuel CerundoloShintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AucklandHardQ1Juan Manuel Cerundolo6-4 6-7(3) 6-2