── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Luca Van Assche
66%34%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 32% / 68%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Luca Van Assche
15th · poor
Return
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average
Luca Van Assche
79th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#51
model rank
#115
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Juan Manuel CerundoloLuca Van Assche
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
Grass01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-12Bordeaux CHClayR32Juan Manuel Cerundolo7-6(2) 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassQ1Luca Van Assche7-6(5) 6-2
2022-05-23Roland GarrosClayQ1Juan Manuel Cerundolo6-3 6-3