── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Raphael Collignon
35%65%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Return
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#51
model rank
#23
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
BEL
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Juan Manuel CerundoloRaphael Collignon
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-12Bordeaux CHClayFJuan Manuel Cerundolo5-7 6-1 7-6(4)
2025-07-07Braunschweig CHClayQFJuan Manuel Cerundolo4-6 6-3 6-4