── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Facundo Diaz Acosta 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Facundo Diaz Acosta
Hugo Dellien
56%44%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 44% / 56%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Facundo Diaz Acosta
32th · below avg
Hugo Dellien
24th · below avg
Return
Facundo Diaz Acosta
69th · average
Hugo Dellien
34th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#104
model rank
#127
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
BOL
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Facundo Diaz AcostaHugo Dellien
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay13
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-11Oeiras 4 CHClayR32Hugo Dellien6-2 7-6(6)
2026-03-30Sao Leopoldo CHClayFFacundo Diaz Acosta5-7 6-2 6-4
2026-03-23Sao Paulo CHClayR16Hugo Dellien6-4 2-6 6-3
2021-10-18Buenos Aires CHClayR32Hugo Dellien4-6 6-0 6-1