── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Facundo Diaz Acosta 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Thiago Monteiro
62%38%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Facundo Diaz Acosta
32th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Return
Facundo Diaz Acosta
69th · average
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#104
model rank
#146
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
ARG
country
BRA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Facundo Diaz Acosta■ Thiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–4
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Concepcion CH | Clay | R32 | Thiago Monteiro | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-02-17 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | R32 | Thiago Monteiro | 3-6 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2023-11-13 | Montevideo CH | Clay | F | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 6-3 4-3 RET |
| 2023-10-02 | Campinas CH | Clay | R16 | Thiago Monteiro | 3-6 6-1 6-3 |
| 2018-11-05 | Montevideo CH | Clay | R32 | Thiago Monteiro | 6-2 7-5 |