── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Facundo Diaz Acosta 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Elias Ymer
70%30%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Facundo Diaz Acosta
32th · below avg
Elias Ymer
4th · poor
Return
Facundo Diaz Acosta
69th · average
Elias Ymer
14th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#104
model rank
#168
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
SWE
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Facundo Diaz Acosta■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-08 | Szczecin CH | Clay | R32 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 6-2 6-1 |