── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Facundo Diaz Acosta 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
62%38%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Facundo Diaz Acosta
48th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
17th · poor
Return
Facundo Diaz Acosta
70th · strong
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
38th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#78
model rank
#131
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Facundo Diaz Acosta■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–4
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Rosario CH | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 5-7 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2023-02-27 | Santiago | Clay | Q1 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-10-17 | Coquimbo CH | Clay | R16 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2022-04-25 | Buenos Aires CH | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-02-22 | Cordoba | Clay | Q2 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2018-11-05 | Montevideo CH | Clay | Q3 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 6-4 6-2 |