── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Facundo Diaz Acosta
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
44%56%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 58% / 42%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Facundo Diaz Acosta
32th · below avg
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Facundo Diaz Acosta
69th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#104
model rank
#82
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Facundo Diaz AcostaCamilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay24
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-02Rosario CHClayR16Camilo Ugo Carabelli5-7 6-4 7-6(4)
2023-02-27SantiagoClayQ1Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 6-4
2022-10-17Coquimbo CHClayR16Facundo Diaz Acosta6-3 6-1
2022-04-25Buenos Aires CHClayR16Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-3 6-2
2021-02-22CordobaClayQ2Camilo Ugo Carabelli4-6 6-3 6-2
2018-11-05Montevideo CHClayQ3Facundo Diaz Acosta6-4 6-2