── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Facundo Diaz Acosta 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Facundo Diaz Acosta
Hugo Gaston
58%42%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Facundo Diaz Acosta
48th · average
Hugo Gaston
9th · poor
Return
Facundo Diaz Acosta
70th · strong
Hugo Gaston
61th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#78
model rank
#110
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
ARG
country
FRA
183cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Facundo Diaz Acosta■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–3
Hard1–0
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-06Braunschweig CHClaySFHugo Gaston5-7 7-6(4) 7-5
2024-08-26Us OpenHardR128Facundo Diaz Acosta6-1 6-4 6-2
2024-07-22KitzbuhelClaySFHugo Gaston6-1 2-0 RET
2024-07-15HamburgClayR32Hugo Gaston7-6(4) 1-6 6-4
2023-03-06Santiago CHClayR16Facundo Diaz Acosta7-5 6-3