── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Reilly Opelka a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Francisco Comesana
Reilly Opelka
48%52%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 42% / 58%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Francisco Comesana
46th · average
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Return
Francisco Comesana
39th · below avg
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#108
model rank
#100
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
178cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Francisco ComesanaReilly Opelka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR32Francisco Comesana6-7(4) 6-4 7-5