── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Reilly Opelka 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Francisco Comesana
Reilly Opelka
41%59%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Francisco Comesana
43th · average
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Return
Francisco Comesana
39th · below avg
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#139
model rank
#100
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
178cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Francisco Comesana■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Francisco Comesana | 6-7(4) 6-4 7-5 |