── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Francisco Comesana
Alex Michelsen
34%66%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Francisco Comesana
46th · average
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Return
Francisco Comesana
39th · below avg
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#108
model rank
#47
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
178cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Francisco ComesanaAlex Michelsen
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Francisco Comesana1-6 6-3 6-4 6-4