── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stan Wawrinka a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Shevchenko
Stan Wawrinka
48%52%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 10% / 90%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#124
model rank
#116
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
SUI
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ShevchenkoStan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-14GstaadClayR32Alexander Shevchenko6-3 6-2
2023-10-23BaselHardR32Alexander Shevchenko6-3 7-6(8)