── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Roberto Bautista Agut a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Shevchenko
Roberto Bautista Agut
49%51%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 6% / 94%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#124
model rank
#122
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
ESP
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Shevchenko■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | Q2 | Alexander Shevchenko | 7-6(3) 7-6(4) |