── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Shevchenko
Nikoloz Basilashvili
45%55%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 13% / 87%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#124
model rank
#105
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
GEO
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ShevchenkoNikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardQ1Alexander Shevchenko7-6(1) 6-4
2025-08-12Sumter CHHardQFAlexander Shevchenko3-6 7-6(3) 4-1 RET