── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Shevchenko 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Shevchenko
Taro Daniel
63%37%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 27% / 73%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Taro Daniel
10th · poor
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Taro Daniel
10th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#124
model rank
#160
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
JPN
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander ShevchenkoTaro Daniel
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-17ChengduHardQFAlexander Shevchenko7-6(2) 3-6 6-2