── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Shevchenko a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Shevchenko
Taro Daniel
50%50%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Taro Daniel
18th · poor
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor
Taro Daniel
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#137
model rank
#138
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
JPN
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Shevchenko■ Taro Daniel
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Bratislava CH | Clay | F | Taro Daniel | 3-6 6-0 7-6(2) |
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | QF | Alexander Shevchenko | 7-6(2) 3-6 6-2 |