── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Shevchenko 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Shevchenko
Elias Ymer
68%32%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 18% / 82%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Elias Ymer
5th · poor
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor
Elias Ymer
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#137
model rank
#182
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
SWE
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Shevchenko■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Alexander Shevchenko | 3-6 7-5 6-4 6-1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Mallorca | Grass | Q1 | Elias Ymer | 6-4 7-6(4) |