── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Shevchenko
Karen Khachanov
20%80%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 5% / 95%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#137
model rank
#25
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
RUS
185cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Shevchenko■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–2
Hard1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-11-06 | Metz | Hard | QF | Alexander Shevchenko | 6-4 6-4 |