── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Shevchenko 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Shevchenko
Carlos Taberner
60%40%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 44% / 56%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Carlos Taberner
4th · poor
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor
Carlos Taberner
51th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#137
model rank
#169
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
ESP
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Shevchenko■ Carlos Taberner
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardQ1Alexander Shevchenko6-3 6-2