── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Shevchenko
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
49%51%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#137
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
ARG
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Shevchenko■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Alexander Shevchenko | 6-3 4-6 7-6(5) |