── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hugo Gaston a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Shevchenko
Hugo Gaston
45%55%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Hugo Gaston
9th · poor
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor
Hugo Gaston
61th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#137
model rank
#111
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
KAZ
country
FRA
185cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Shevchenko■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-12Bordeaux CHClayR32Alexander Shevchenko6-1 3-6 6-1