── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Shevchenko 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Shevchenko
Sho Shimabukuro
57%43%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 10% / 90%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#137
model rank
#155
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
JPN
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Shevchenko■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Alexander Shevchenko | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2025-08-12 | Sumter CH | Hard | R16 | Alexander Shevchenko | 6-3 6-3 |