── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Shevchenko 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Shevchenko
Shintaro Mochizuki
68%32%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 10% / 90%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#124
model rank
#174
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
JPN
185cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Shevchenko■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-12 | Sumter CH | Hard | SF | Alexander Shevchenko | 4-6 6-1 6-1 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q1 | Alexander Shevchenko | 6-7(2) 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-06-20 | Milan CH | Clay | QF | Alexander Shevchenko | 6-3 6-1 |