── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tristan Boyer 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tristan Boyer
Bernard Tomic
59%41%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 36% / 64%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tristan Boyer
20th · poor
Bernard Tomic
11th · poor
Return
Tristan Boyer
26th · below avg
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#146
model rank
#173
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tristan Boyer■ Bernard Tomic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Los Cabos | Hard | Q2 | Tristan Boyer | W/O |
| 2026-07-20 | Bloomfield Hills CH | Hard | R32 | Tristan Boyer | 1-3 RET |
| 2024-02-12 | Bengaluru CH | Hard | R32 | Tristan Boyer | 3-6 6-3 6-3 |