── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Gael Monfils
64%36%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Gael Monfils
62th · average
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Gael Monfils
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#73
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
FRA
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Gael Monfils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Jack Draper | 6-3 4-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-08-08 | Canada Masters | Hard | R16 | Jack Draper | 6-2 0-2 RET |