── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Novak Djokovic
16%84%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 11% / 89%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#3
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
SRB
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Novak Djokovic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Jack Draper | 4-6 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Novak Djokovic | 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2 |