── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Roberto Bautista Agut
78%22%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#122
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
ESP
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Jack Draper | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |