── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jack Draper
Roberto Bautista Agut
75%25%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Roberto Bautista Agut
37th · below avg
Return
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
ESP
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jack Draper■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Jack Draper | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |